Expert Predicts $130 Trillion Capital Shift to Bitcoin, Stocks, and Gold
Veteran macro investor Luke Gromen predicts a significant shift of trillions of dollars from the US bond market to assets like Bitcoin, gold, and stocks. In a recent Kitco NEWS interview, Gromen highlighted the expected liquidity drain from the $130 trillion bond market. He expressed concerns about central banks worldwide avoiding US Treasuries due to the risk of potential confiscation by the US government for geopolitical reasons.
Gromen emphasized the diminishing appeal of Treasuries as risk-free instruments, citing previous instances where the US government seized Treasuries from countries like Russia. He anticipated a scenario where Treasury investors would opt to divest their holdings in favor of assets like gold, Bitcoin, and stocks, which offer higher growth potential compared to bonds. Gromen pointed out that the US government’s inability to raise interest rates due to its substantial debt burden makes alternative asset classes more attractive to investors.
The macro guru described the bond market as vulnerable and expected a trend where investors would sell bonds to invest in assets with more intrinsic value, such as the $65 trillion US stock market, $14 trillion gold market, and $1.4 trillion Bitcoin market. He predicted a cycle where escalating bond selling pressure could lead to Treasury dysfunction or unsustainable debt levels for the US government, prompting interventions like increased money printing by the Federal Reserve and Treasury Department. This, in turn, would further bolster the appeal of gold, Bitcoin, and stocks as alternative investments.
Gromen suggested that the remaining funds in the $130 trillion bond market would eventually flow into these alternative assets, creating a self-reinforcing cycle. He highlighted the potential for rapid shifts in market dynamics as investors reallocate their capital. The interview underscored Gromen’s belief in a significant capital rotation event that could reshape the investment landscape, emphasizing the growing attractiveness of assets like Bitcoin, gold, and stocks over traditional bonds.
The article also featured a video interview with Gromen discussing these insights, providing additional context to his views on the evolving investment environment.